Jake | Wednesday 11th January 2012 | Formula 1

Has the Formula 1 world moved on completely to 2012, or is there still any interest in looking back at 2011? Regardless, I’m still fascinated by Williams, and how spectacularly badly they did: a meagre 5 points, compared to the 41 of Toro Rosso and 44 of Sauber in front of them, and 0 of Team Lotus behind them.

A graphical look

Williams in the 2011 Formula 1 Season

The graph to the right compares the classified finishing positions of those four teams.

It’s clear that Williams (light blue) were consistently better than Team Lotus (green), and a 5 point differential – less than a 7th place finish – feels too little.

Conversely, both Toro Rosso (dark blue) and Sauber (red) were consistently better, but to the tune of those teams scoring more than 8 times as many points as Williams? Probably not.

A quirk of the points system

The question is: was this a fair reflection of the 2011 season for Williams, or an unfortunate quirk of the points system? With points only for the top ten finishers, there are always going to be drivers just missing out on the points.

points to:
Team 15th 10th 8th 6th
Red Bull Racing 681 650 267 219
McLaren 540 497 204 151
Ferrari 436 375 151 90
Mercedes 252 165 58 19
Renault 171 73 22 10
Force India 195 69 19 3
Sauber 143 44 11 2
Toro Rosso 139 41 9 0
Williams 71 5 0 0
Team Lotus 21 0 0 0
HRT 3 0 0 0
Virgin Racing 7 0 0 0

So how different would it have looked if instead of the current points to 10th, we used the old points to 8th, the even older points to 6th, or MotoGP’s points to 15th? The table to the right shows just that.

Had points gone to 15th, Williams would have had around half the points of Toro Rosso and Sauber, and a few times more points than Team Lotus. Which, in an unhelpfully vague sense, feels about right.

Had points only gone to 8th, then Williams would have scored no points, but Toro Rosso and Sauber would have only had a handful. With points to 6th, Williams would have been joined on zero points by Toro Rosso.

Conclusion

Williams unarguably had a bloody awful season in 2011. By any measure, they were 9th out of 12 teams.

But the current Formula 1 points system happens to have conspired against them to make their performance relative to the teams around them look worse than it actually was. Using other points systems – respectable, genuine points systems – it’s clear that they were closer to the midfield teams than they appeared from the actual final points standings.

There are 2 comments

  1. Comment by Pete Allen, Wednesday 11th January 2012 @ 12:40

    Good analysis there!

    But looking at the teams’ scores under different points systems shows something interesting – just how hard it is to get into the top six these days without a top four car.

    Have a look to ten years ago here (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2001_Formula_One_season#Constructors). Nine teams scored more points than sixth-placed Force India would have done under a top six system this year. And of course Renault would only have scored two points if you ignore the opening two races.

    The reason for this is clear with a quick glance at that table. Retirements. Compare the number of retirements amongst the top four or five teams in 2001 to the top four or five in 2011 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Formula_One_season#Constructors_standings).

    The vast improvement in reliability has made rewarding top ten finishes a necessity. But however difficult, it’s still a bit of a disaster for Williams!

  2. Comment by Jake, Wednesday 11th January 2012 @ 13:42

    Cheers! Good point on retirements. It’s easy to – as I did – forget just how much reliability has improved. It’s incredible, really.

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